论文标题

与治疗相关的死亡和“粘性”诊断对记录的前列腺癌死亡的影响

The Effect of Treatment-Related Deaths and "Sticky" Diagnoses on Recorded Prostate Cancer Mortality

论文作者

Welch, H. Gilbert, Barry, Michael J., Black, William C, Song, Yunjie, Fisher, Elliott S.

论文摘要

背景:尽管记录的癌症死亡率应包括癌症死亡和癌症治疗死亡的死亡,但有证据表明该措施可能不完整。为了调查记录的前列腺癌死亡率的完整性,我们比较了发现的男性中其他原因(非肢体癌)死亡率,但在针头活检后未发现患有前列腺癌。 方法:我们将Medicare索赔数据与SEER数据联系起来,以分析居住在SEER地区并于1993 - 2001年接受针头活检的Medicare的男性人口的生存。我们将发现患有前列腺癌(n = 53,462)的男性中的其他原因死亡率与未发现患有前列腺癌的男性(n = 103,659)进行了比较。 结果:发现患有前列腺癌的男性,年龄调整后的其他原因死亡率为每10,000人年471人,而没有发现患有前列腺癌的男性为468人(RR = 1.01; 95%CI:0.98-1.03)。但是,效果按年龄进行了修改。 RR以逐步的方式从65-69岁的男性中的1.08(95%CI:1.03-1.14)下降到85岁及85岁以上男性的0.89(95%CI:0.83-0.95)。如果将其他原因死亡率中的过量(或赤字)添加到记录的前列腺癌死亡率中,则在最年轻的年龄段(每10,000年的90至1​​11)中,前列腺癌死亡率将上升23%,并且在最古老的年龄组中将下降30%(从551年到388%至388%)。 结论:尽管记录的前列腺癌死亡率总体上似乎是一种准确的措施,但它系统地低估了与前列腺癌诊断和年轻男性治疗相关的死亡率,并且在非常老的情况下高估了它。我们推测,在年轻男性中,与治疗相关的死亡未完全被记录下的前列腺癌死亡率,而在老年男性中,诊断“棍子” - 一旦被诊断出,就更有可能死于这种疾病。

Background: Although recorded cancer mortality should include both deaths from cancer and deaths from cancer treatment, there is evidence suggesting that the measure may be incomplete. To investigate the completeness of recorded prostate cancer mortality, we compared other-cause (non-prostate cancer) mortality in men found and not found to have prostate cancer following a needle biopsy. Methods: We linked Medicare claims data to SEER data to analyze survival in the population of men aged 65+ enrolled in Medicare who resided in a SEER area and received a needle biopsy in 1993-2001. We compared other-cause mortality in men found to have prostate cancer (n=53,462) to that in men not found to have prostate cancer (n=103,659). Results: The age-race adjusted other-cause mortality rate was 471 per 10,000 person-years in men found to have prostate cancer vs. 468 per 10,000 in men not found to have prostate cancer (RR = 1.01;95% CI:0.98-1.03). The effect was modified, however, by age. The RR declined in a stepwise fashion from 1.08 (95% CI:1.03-1.14) in men age 65-69 to 0.89 (95% CI:0.83-0.95) in men age 85 and older. If the excess (or deficit) in other-cause mortality were added to the recorded prostate cancer mortality, prostate cancer mortality would rise 23% in the youngest age group (from 90 to 111 per 10,000) and would fall 30% in the oldest age group (from 551 to 388 per 10,000). Conclusion: Although recorded prostate cancer mortality appears to be an accurate measure overall, it systematically underestimates the mortality associated with prostate cancer diagnosis and treatment in younger men and overestimates it in the very old. We surmise that in younger men treatment-related deaths are incompletely captured in recorded prostate cancer mortality, while in older men the diagnosis "sticks"-- once diagnosed, they are more likely to be said to have died from the disease.

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