论文标题

基于自我意识的资源分配策略,用于遏制流行病的传播

Self-awareness based resource allocation strategy for containment of epidemic spreading

论文作者

Chen, Xiaolong, Liu, Quanhui, Wang, Ruijie, Li, Qing, Wang, Wei

论文摘要

个人之间的资源支持在控制或减轻流行病的传播方面尤其重要,尤其是在大流行期间。而仍然存在一个问题,即我们如何通过捐赠资源来与他人作斗争的资源来保护自己免受感染。为了回答这个问题,我们通过考虑对个人自我保护的意识提出了一种新颖的资源分配模型。在模型中,引入了调整参数,以量化个体意识到疾病时的反应强度。然后,提出了一种资源分配和疾病扩散模型,以研究自我意识对资源分配的影响及其对流行病扩散动态的影响。通过理论分析和广泛的蒙特卡洛模拟,我们发现在固定状态下,系统会收敛到两个状态:整个状态或完全感染的整个状态,这表明当资源短缺时,患病率突然增加。更重要的是,我们发现在流行病爆发期间对人民来说太谨慎和无私是不适合控制疾病的。通过广泛的模拟,我们发现了最大的流行阈值值,并且可以在最大程度上延迟爆发。最后,我们进一步研究网络结构对耦合动力学的影响。我们发现该程度的异质性促进了疾病的爆发,网络结构不会改变行为反应中的最佳现象。

Resource support between individuals is of particular importance in controlling or mitigating epidemic spreading, especially during pandemics. Whereas there remains the question of how we can protect ourselves from being infected while helping others by donating resources in fighting against the epidemic. To answer the question, we propose a novel resource allocation model by considering the awareness of self-protection of individuals. In the model, a tuning parameter is introduced to quantify the reaction strength of individuals when they are aware of the disease. And then, a coupled model of resource allocation and disease spreading is proposed to study the impact of self-awareness on resource allocation and, its impact on the dynamics of epidemic spreading. Through theoretical analysis and extensive Monte Carlo simulations, we find that in the stationary state, the system converges to two states: the whole healthy or the completely infected, which indicates an abrupt increase in the prevalence when there is a shortage of resources. More importantly, we find that too cautious and too selfless for the people during the outbreak of an epidemic are both not suitable for disease control. Through extensive simulations, we find the optimal point, at which there is a maximum value of the epidemic threshold, and an outbreak can be delayed to the greatest extent. At last, we study further the effects of network structure on the coupled dynamics. We find that the degree heterogeneity promotes the outbreak of disease, and the network structure does not alter the optimal phenomenon in behavior response.

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