论文标题
规避风险平衡分析和计算
Risk-Averse Equilibrium Analysis and Computation
论文作者
论文摘要
我们考虑了针对生产商网络的两个市场设计,即交易能源:(i)一种集中的设计,可以充当基准,以及(ii)点对点市场设计。高可再生能源渗透要求能源市场设计正确处理不确定性。为此,我们考虑针对市场设计的风险中性模型(i),(ii)及其规避风险的解释,其中使徒者赋予了反映其风险态度异质性的连贯风险措施。我们在存在和唯一性方面表征了分析风险中性和规避风险的平衡,依赖于广义的NASH平衡和变异平衡作为解决方案概念。为了对冲他们面向不确定性并完成市场的风险,生产商可以交易金融合同。我们提供了不同市场制度下风险调整概率的封闭形式特征,以及依赖于该问题的广义潜在游戏结构的风险交易机制的分布式算法。在三个节点网络和IEEE 14-BUS网络中,对风险异质性和金融合同对生产商预期成本的影响进行了数值分析。
We consider two market designs for a network of prosumers, trading energy: (i) a centralized design which acts as a benchmark, and (ii) a peer-to-peer market design. High renewable energy penetration requires that the energy market design properly handles uncertainty. To that purpose, we consider risk neutral models for market designs (i), (ii), and their risk-averse interpretations in which prosumers are endowed with coherent risk measures reflecting heterogeneity in their risk attitudes. We characterize analytically risk-neutral and risk-averse equilibrium in terms of existence and uniqueness , relying on Generalized Nash Equilibrium and Variational Equilibrium as solution concepts. To hedge their risk towards uncertainty and complete the market, prosumers can trade financial contracts. We provide closed form characterisations of the risk-adjusted probabilities under different market regimes and a distributed algorithm for risk trading mechanism relying on the Generalized potential game structure of the problem. The impact of risk heterogeneity and financial contracts on the prosumers' expected costs are analysed numerically in a three node network and the IEEE 14-bus network.