论文标题

AI经济学家:通过AI驱动的税收政策提高平等和生产力

The AI Economist: Improving Equality and Productivity with AI-Driven Tax Policies

论文作者

Zheng, Stephan, Trott, Alexander, Srinivasa, Sunil, Naik, Nikhil, Gruesbeck, Melvin, Parkes, David C., Socher, Richard

论文摘要

应对现实世界的社会经济挑战需要设计和测试经济政策。但是,由于缺乏适当的(微观)经济数据和实验机会有限,因此这在实践中很难。在这项工作中,我们培训社会规划师,发现可以有效地权衡经济平等和生产力的动态经济中的税收政策。我们提出了一种基于经济模拟的经济模拟和政府的学习和适应的经济模拟,提出了一种学习动态税收政策的两级深入学习方法。我们的数据驱动方法不利用经济建模假设,而是仅从观察数据中学习。我们做出四个主要贡献。首先,我们提出一个经济模拟环境,具有竞争压力和市场动态。我们通过表明基线税系统以与经济理论一致的方式(包括有关学识渊博的代理行为和专业化)的方式来验证模拟。其次,我们表明AI驱动的税收政策比基线政策(包括著名的Saez税收框架)提高了平等和生产率之间的权衡。第三,我们展示了几个新兴特征:AI驱动的税收政策在质量上与基准不同,为低收入的最高税率和更高的净补贴设定。此外,面对AI代理商学到的新兴税收策略,AI驱动的税收政策的执行良好。最后,在与人类参与者进行实验时,AI驱动的税收政策也有效。在MTURK进行的实验中,AI税收政策提供了与Saez框架和较高的反收入加权社会福利相似的平等生产率权衡。

Tackling real-world socio-economic challenges requires designing and testing economic policies. However, this is hard in practice, due to a lack of appropriate (micro-level) economic data and limited opportunity to experiment. In this work, we train social planners that discover tax policies in dynamic economies that can effectively trade-off economic equality and productivity. We propose a two-level deep reinforcement learning approach to learn dynamic tax policies, based on economic simulations in which both agents and a government learn and adapt. Our data-driven approach does not make use of economic modeling assumptions, and learns from observational data alone. We make four main contributions. First, we present an economic simulation environment that features competitive pressures and market dynamics. We validate the simulation by showing that baseline tax systems perform in a way that is consistent with economic theory, including in regard to learned agent behaviors and specializations. Second, we show that AI-driven tax policies improve the trade-off between equality and productivity by 16% over baseline policies, including the prominent Saez tax framework. Third, we showcase several emergent features: AI-driven tax policies are qualitatively different from baselines, setting a higher top tax rate and higher net subsidies for low incomes. Moreover, AI-driven tax policies perform strongly in the face of emergent tax-gaming strategies learned by AI agents. Lastly, AI-driven tax policies are also effective when used in experiments with human participants. In experiments conducted on MTurk, an AI tax policy provides an equality-productivity trade-off that is similar to that provided by the Saez framework along with higher inverse-income weighted social welfare.

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