论文标题
ESG2Risk:一个深度学习框架,从ESG新闻到股票波动性预测
ESG2Risk: A Deep Learning Framework from ESG News to Stock Volatility Prediction
论文作者
论文摘要
最近将环境,社会和治理(ESG)考虑到系统投资,最近引起了许多关注。在本文中,我们专注于金融新闻流中的ESG事件,并探讨与ESG相关的有关股票波动的预测能力。特别是,我们开发了ESG新闻提取,新闻表示和深度学习模型的贝叶斯推断的管道。对实际数据和不同市场的实验评估表明,高波动性预测与潜在的高风险和低回报的股票的相关性以及高波动性预测的关系。它还显示了提议的管道作为各种文本数据和目标变量的灵活预测框架的前景。
Incorporating environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations into systematic investments has drawn numerous attention recently. In this paper, we focus on the ESG events in financial news flow and exploring the predictive power of ESG related financial news on stock volatility. In particular, we develop a pipeline of ESG news extraction, news representations, and Bayesian inference of deep learning models. Experimental evaluation on real data and different markets demonstrates the superior predicting performance as well as the relation of high volatility prediction to stocks with potential high risk and low return. It also shows the prospect of the proposed pipeline as a flexible predicting framework for various textual data and target variables.