论文标题
通过每日周期在结构化社会上传播传染病的动态
Spreading dynamics of infectious diseases on structured society with daily cycles
论文作者
论文摘要
我们面临着一个普遍的严重问题，传染病，并试图抑制感染的传播。我们需要更少的接触以减少感染的机会，但这也意味着经济活动的丧失。在我们的社会中，这种权衡是不可避免的，因为到目前为止，我们仍然需要直接的沟通和通勤。我们论文的重点是我们直接接触的社会结构。我们使用人工sosiety模型研究传播过程，每个代理人每天都有每天的周期，然后每天回到家。同时，感染沿SIR模型传播。我们表现出缓慢的感染和短路通勤可以通过某些结构实现，反之亦然。这种特征的最有效因素是社会的模块化。在高度模块化的社会中，代理商生活在原定的办公室周围，但是代理商通往办公室很长一段路，并且可以在不是模块化社会中快速感染。第一个感染点是特征的另一个因素。如果第一次感染发生在办公室周围，则感染传播速度较慢。相反，如果第一个发生在离办公室很远的地方，则感染可能会很快。我们展示了一个设计原则，高模块化和稀疏分布的办公室，以便在我们居住的真实社会中讨论可能的解决方案。
We are facing a common serious issue, infectious diseases, and trying to suppress the spreading of infection. We need less contact with each other to decrease the chance of infection, but this means loss of economic activity, as well. This tradeoff is inevitable in our society, because we still need direct communication and commuting, so far. The focus of our paper is the structure of society, on which we have direct contacts. We study on spreading process with artificial sosiety model, where each agent has daily cycle and go office and back home, every day. At the same time, infection spreads along SIR model. We show both slow infection and short commuting can be realized with some structures and vice versa. The most effective factor for such features is modularity of society. In highly modular society, agents live around the destined office, but agents commute long way to their office and can be infected fast, in not modular society. The first infection point is one more factor for the features. If the first infection takes place around the office, infection spreads slower. On the contrary, if the first one takes place far away from the office, infection can be fast. We show a design principle, high modularity and sparsely distributed offices, for good society and discuss on possible solutions in real society, where we live in.
