论文标题
同时条纹：概率建模的案例研究
Same-Score Streaks: A Case Study in Probability Modeling
论文作者
论文摘要
体育比赛中的得分相同是一系列游戏，在所有比赛中得分相等。但是，由于很难收集数据，因此研究了大联盟棒球（MLB）的连胜，因此引起了激励的问题。本文探讨了1901年至2019年之间常规赛游戏中的历史数据，其中包括长度为2、3和4的条纹的可能性。然后，我们探索了各种概率模型，以分配MLB游戏和季节中得分的跑步，并为相同长度的长度生成模拟统计数据。
A same-score streak in sports is a sequence of games where the scores are equivalent in all games. The motivating problem arose from college basketball, however due to the difficulty in collecting data, streaks in Major League Baseball (MLB) were studied instead. This paper explores the historic data from regular-season games between 1901 and 2019 to include the likelihood of streaks of length 2, 3 and 4. Then we explore various probability models for the distribution of runs scored during MLB games and seasons and generate simulated statistics for the same length of streaks.
