论文标题
稳定高频巴士线的多阶段查找持有策略
A multi-stage looking-ahead holding strategy to stabilize a high-frequency bus line
论文作者
论文摘要
如果公交线变得不稳定,乘客等待时间将延长,公交车能力将不匹配。为了稳定高频公交线路,已经提出了许多持有策略。在这些策略中,有些人需要采取过分简化的假设来简化真正的公交线的表述。有些人可能会选择近视持有时间,因为他们仅考虑了本地和当前可用的Headway信息。为了克服上述缺点,我们提出了一种自适应持有策略,该策略不断减少瞬时进展与动态目标前进的偏差。通过使用DTH,新的策略可以利用全球向前进信息来确定适当的持有时间。为了充分估计持有时间在相对长时间内的公交线路运行的影响,我们将多阶段的观察机制引入了我们的新策略。使用详细的总线模拟系统来实现上述机制,并描述总线线的各种复杂组件。数值实验证明了我们新策略的有效性。一些有意义的见解被发现如下:前进的阶段数量不应该太小或太大。 b。动作集的范围越大,我们战略的表现就越好; c。为了获得最佳性能,两个邻居保持时间之间的间隔不应太小或太大。 d。控制点的数量越大,我们策略的性能就越好。
If a bus line becomes unstable, passengers waiting time will be lengthened and buses capacities will be mismatched. To stabilize a high-frequency bus line, many holding strategies have been proposed. Among these strategies, some need to take oversimplified assumptions to simplify the formulation of a real bus line; some may choose a myopic holding time because they take into account only the local and currently available headway information. To overcome the above shortcomings, we proposed an adaptive holding strategy which continuously reduces the deviations of the instantaneous headways from the Dynamic Target Headway -DTH. By using DTH, the new strategy can make use of the global headway information to determine a proper holding time. To fully estimate the influence of a holding time on the operation of a bus line in a relative long time period, we introduced the multi-stage looking-ahead mechanism into our new strategy. A detailed bus line simulation system was used to realize the above mechanism and to describe all kinds of complex components of a bus line. The numerical experiment demonstrated the effectiveness of our new strategy. Some meaningful insights were uncovered as follow: a. The number of stages to be looked ahead should not be too small or too big; b. The bigger the range of the action set, the better the performance of our strategy; c. To obtain the optimal performance, the interval between two neighbor holding times should not be too small or too big; d. the bigger the number of the control points, the better the performance of our strategy.