论文标题

基于代理的建模:用于疾病动态应用的概述

Agent-Based Modelling: An Overview with Application to Disease Dynamics

论文作者

Shoukat, Affan, Moghadas, Seyed M.

论文摘要

建模和计算方法对于推进定量科学至关重要,尤其是在过去的二十年中,随着大量复杂,大量和异构数据的可用性。特别是,人们对基于代理的建模引起了人们的兴趣,这主要是由于它可以利用此类数据并进行重大预测的能力。但是,任何公认的定量方法都取决于用于构建和分析的理论框架。尽管在现有文献中已经详细介绍了基于代理的建模的计算方面,但基本的理论基础很少在其构建中使用。在此博览会中,我们概述了基于代理建模的理论基础,并与其计算实现建立了关系。除了详细说明这种计算方法的主要特征外,我们还说明了其在简单,动态过程中模拟传染病的传播的应用。随着基于代理模型的使用扩展到各个学科,我们的评论突出了有指导研究工作的必要性,以开发理论方法和分析工具来分析此类模型。

Modelling and computational methods have been essential in advancing quantitative science, especially in the past two decades with the availability of vast amount of complex, voluminous, and heterogeneous data. In particular, there has been a surge of interest in agent-based modelling, largely due to its capabilities to exploit such data and make significant projections. However, any well-established quantitative method relies on theoretical frameworks for both construction and analysis. While the computational aspects of agent-based modelling have been detailed in existing literature, the underlying theoretical basis has rarely been used in its construction. In this exposition, we provide an overview of the theoretical foundation of agent-based modelling and establish a relationship with its computational implementation. In addition to detailing the main characteristics of this computational methodology, we illustrate its application to simulating the spread of an infectious disease in a simple, dynamical process. As the use of agent-based models expands to various disciplines, our review highlights the need for directed research efforts to develop theoretical methods and analytical tools for the analysis of such models.

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