论文标题
酒精税的影响：复制审查
The impacts of alcohol taxes: A replication review
论文作者
论文摘要
本文回顾了关于酒精税收结果（例如大量饮酒和死亡率）的影响的研究。在数据可用性许可的情况下，复制并重新分析了审查的研究。尽管大多数研究中的弱点，尽管在更可信的基于自然实验的研究中似乎存在分歧，但我们可以合理地确信，征税酒精会减少一般饮酒，尤其是饮酒问题。基础自然实验越大越清洁，研究就越恰当地检测到对饮酒的影响。从2002年的阿拉斯加和2004年的芬兰估计，估计的估计表明，死亡率弹性在-1至-3的价格上。根据这一估计，美国的价格上涨10％将节省每年2,000-6,000人的生命和48,000-130，000年的生命。
This paper reviews the research on the impacts of alcohol taxation outcomes such as heavy drinking and mortality. Where data availability permits, reviewed studies are replicated and reanalyzed. Despite weaknesses in the majority of studies, and despite seeming disagreements among the more credible one--ones based on natural experiments--we can be reasonably confident that taxing alcohol reduces drinking in general and problem drinking in particular. The larger and cleaner the underlying natural experiment, the more apt a study is to detect impacts on drinking. Estimates from the highest-powered study settings, such as in Alaska in 2002 and Finland in 2004, suggest an elasticity of mortality with respect to price of -1 to -3. A 10% price increase in the US would, according to this estimate, save 2,000-6,000 lives and 48,000-130,000 years of life each year.
