论文标题
流行动力学和自适应疫苗接种策略:更新方程方法
epidemic dynamics and adaptive vaccination strategy: renewal equation approach
论文作者
论文摘要
我们使用分析方法来研究封闭人群和人口开放人群中传染病动态的连续疫苗接种策略的影响。该方法和关键假设基于Breda等人(2012)。我们表明,通过结合两个因素,可以显着降低封闭种群感染的累积感染力和人口开放式种群中感染的特有力量:疫苗有效性和疫苗接种率。这些因素对感染力的影响可以将地方性稳态转化为无疾病的状态。关键字:感染力,感染累积力,标量更新方程,人均死亡率,兰伯特功能,自适应疫苗接种策略
We use analytical methods to investigate a continuous vaccination strategy effects on the infectious disease dynamics in a closed population and a demographically open population. The methodology and key assumptions are based on Breda et al (2012). We show that the cumulative force of infection for the closed population and the endemic force of infection in the demographically open population can be reduced significantly by combining two factors: the vaccine effectiveness and the vaccination rate. The impact of these factors on the force of infection can transform an endemic steady state into a disease-free state. Keywords: Force of infection, Cumulative force of infection, Scalar-renewal equation, Per capita death rate, Lambert function, adaptive vaccination strategy