论文标题

在Covid-19期间使用手机数据观察到的全国范围的移动性变化

Country-wide mobility changes observed using mobile phone data during COVID-19 pandemic

论文作者

Heiler, Georg, Reisch, Tobias, Hurt, Jan, Forghani, Mohammad, Omani, Aida, Hanbury, Allan, Karimipour, Farid

论文摘要

2020年3月,奥地利政府为回应Covid-19的大流行而引入了广泛的锁定。根据主观印象和轶事证据,奥地利的公共生活和私人生活突然停止。在这里,我们使用近实时的匿名手机数据对奥地利所有地区的所有地区进行定量评估锁定的效果,并对整个奥地利的人类流动性进行分析。我们描述了有效的数据聚合管道,并通过量化特定兴趣点(POI)的移动电话流量,分析单个轨迹并研究了原始用途图的群集结构,从而分析了移动性。我们发现,维也纳地铁站的通勤者降低了80 \%以上,而回转半径小于500 m的设备数量几乎翻了一番。研究人群行为行为的结果突出了移动网络结构的相当大变化,这是由于较高的模块化和从12个被检测到的社区增加到的增加。我们通过显示来自ISCHGL镇(早期Covid-19 Hotspot)和报道的COVID-19病例具有8天时间滞后的COVID-19病例,证明了流行数据与流行病学研究的相关性。这项研究表明,手机使用数据允许对整个国家的流动性行为进行瞬间量化。我们强调有必要以匿名形式提高此类数据的可用性,以增强对Cobt Covid-19和未来大流行的快速响应。

In March 2020, the Austrian government introduced a widespread lock-down in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on subjective impressions and anecdotal evidence, Austrian public and private life came to a sudden halt. Here we assess the effect of the lock-down quantitatively for all regions in Austria and present an analysis of daily changes of human mobility throughout Austria using near-real-time anonymized mobile phone data. We describe an efficient data aggregation pipeline and analyze the mobility by quantifying mobile-phone traffic at specific point of interest (POI), analyzing individual trajectories and investigating the cluster structure of the origin-destination graph. We found a reduction of commuters at Viennese metro stations of over 80\% and the number of devices with a radius of gyration of less than 500 m almost doubled. The results of studying crowd-movement behavior highlight considerable changes in the structure of mobility networks, revealed by a higher modularity and an increase from 12 to 20 detected communities. We demonstrate the relevance of mobility data for epidemiological studies by showing a significant correlation of the outflow from the town of Ischgl (an early COVID-19 hotspot) and the reported COVID-19 cases with an 8-day time lag. This research indicates that mobile phone usage data permits the moment-by-moment quantification of mobility behavior for a whole country. We emphasize the need to improve the availability of such data in anonymized form to empower rapid response to combat COVID-19 and future pandemics.

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