论文标题

1938年1月的极端风暴的强度和演变

The intensity and evolution of the extreme storms in January 1938

论文作者

Hayakawa, Hisashi, Hattori, Kentaro, Pevtsov, Alexei A., Ebihara, Yusuke, Shea, Margaret A., McCracken, Ken G., Daglis, Ioannis A., Bhaskar, Ankush, Ribeiro, Paulo, Knipp, Delores J.

论文摘要

主要的太阳喷发偶尔会将星际冠状动脉质量弹出(ICME)直接引向地球,并造成大量的地磁风暴和低纬度的极光。虽然单一极端风暴对现代文明构成了重大威胁,但风暴偶尔会依次出现,并协同行动,导致地球上的“完美风暴”。 1938年1月的暴风雨间隔就是这样的情况之一。在这里,我们分析了当代记录,以揭示其有关其活性区域,太阳喷发,ICMES,地磁风暴​​,低纬度极光和宇宙射线(CR)变化的时间序列。地磁记录表明,1月21/22 1月17日(DCX〜 -171 NT)连续发生了三场风暴(DCX〜 -171 NT)(DCX〜 -328 NT)和1月25/26(DCX〜 -336 NT)。宇宙射线变化和突然暴风雨开始的幅度表明,第一个ICME作为最大的ICME(CR降低了约6%,SSC下降了6%),而ICME与暴风雨相关的ICME随后是中等程度的中等程度(CR降低了3%,CR降低了3%,SSC降低了CR和63 nt的SSC; 〜2%)。有趣的是,1月16/17发生了重大的太阳能质子事件,切尔滕纳姆电离室可能会增强地面水平。在第一次风暴期间,在中间纬度中,极光较低,而在第二和第三次风暴中,极光椭圆形的赤道边界延伸至40.3°,在不变的纬度中延伸至40.0°。这种对比表明,初始ICME的速度可能更快,总幅度较高,但向南组件较小。

Major solar eruptions occasionally direct interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) to Earth and cause significant geomagnetic storms and low-latitude aurorae. While single extreme storms are of significant threats to the modern civilization, storms occasionally appear in sequence and, acting synergistically, cause 'perfect storms' at Earth. The stormy interval in January 1938 was one of such cases. Here, we analyze the contemporary records to reveal its time series on their source active regions, solar eruptions, ICMEs, geomagnetic storms, low-latitude aurorae, and cosmic-ray (CR) variations. Geomagnetic records show that three storms occurred successively on 17/18 January (Dcx ~ -171 nT) on 21/22 January (Dcx ~ -328 nT) and on 25/26 January (Dcx ~ -336 nT). The amplitudes of the cosmic-ray variations and sudden storm commencements show the impact of the first ICME as the largest (~ 6% decrease in CR and 72 nT in SSC) and the ICME associated with the storms that followed as more moderate (~ 3% decrease in CR and 63 nT in SSC; ~ 2% decrease in CR and 63 nT in SSC). Interestingly, a significant solar proton event occurred on 16/17 January and the Cheltenham ionization chamber showed a possible ground level enhancement. During the first storm, aurorae were less visible at mid-latitudes, whereas during the second and third storms, the equatorward boundaries of the auroral oval were extended down to 40.3° and 40.0° in invariant latitude. This contrast shows that the initial ICME was probably faster, with a higher total magnitude but a smaller southward component.

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