论文标题

缓解流行病学结果的动态因果模型

Dynamic causal modelling of mitigated epidemiological outcomes

论文作者

Friston, Karl J., Flandin, Guillaume, Razi, Adeel

论文摘要

该技术报告描述了基于各种时间表数据的流行病学结果的动态因果建模的基本原理和技术细节。它详细介绍了基础卷积或生成模型的结构(在6-Nov-20撰写时)。该报告旨在用作参考,以伴随以下仪表板的预测:https://www.fil.ion.ucl.ac.ac.uk/spm/covid-19/dashboard

This technical report describes the rationale and technical details for the dynamic causal modelling of mitigated epidemiological outcomes based upon a variety of timeseries data. It details the structure of the underlying convolution or generative model (at the time of writing on 6-Nov-20). This report is intended for use as a reference that accompanies the predictions in following dashboard: https://www.fil.ion.ucl.ac.uk/spm/covid-19/dashboard

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