论文标题
在全球航空网络中平衡能力和流行病
Balancing Capacity and Epidemic Spread in the Global Airline Network
论文作者
论文摘要
长期以来，人们一直认为，复杂网络的结构在图表上的传播和传播现象中发挥作用。这种行为很难在分析上建模，并且通常是通过数字建模的。这些网络构成了社会结构的重要组成部分，包括运输网络。随着社会为控制共同19的大流行而奋斗，一个重要的问题是选择在运输网络的完整开放与控制流行病之间的最佳平衡。在本文中，我们调查了使用信息理论分析网络结构的最新进展可以为有关开放网络开放的决策提供信息。由于可用的数据丰富，我们集中在全球航空网络上，但是这些方法原则上适用于任何运输网络。我们能够证明可以实质性地打开航空网络，并对病毒的传播具有一定程度的控制。
The structure of complex networks has long been understood to play a role in transmission and spreading phenomena on a graph. This behavior is difficult to model analytically and is most often modeled numerically. Such networks form an important part of the structure of society, including transportation networks. As society fights to control the COVID-19 pandemic, an important question is to choose the optimum balance between the full opening of transport networks and the control of epidemic spread. In this paper we investigate how recent advances in analyzing network structure using information theory could inform decisions regarding the opening of such networks. By virtue of the richness of data available we focus upon the worldwide airline network, but these methods are in principle applicable to any transport network. We are able to demonstrate that it is possible to substantially open the airline network and have some degree of control on the spread of the virus.
