论文标题
在简化的随机热盐循环系统中最大似然状态的突然变化
On the abrupt change of the maximum likelihood state in a simplified stochastic thermohaline circulation system
论文作者
论文摘要
研究了简化的随机热盐循环模型的最大似然态。结果表明，在两个亚稳态之间的过渡期间，最大似然状态发生了跳跃。跳跃有助于解释气候系统中突然变化的机制，如各种气候记录所揭示的。
The maximum likelihood state for a simplified stochastic thermohaline circulation model is investigated. It is shown that a jump occurs for the maximum likelihood state during transitions between two metastable states. The jump helps to explain the mechanism of the abrupt change in the climate systems as revealed by various climate records.
