论文标题
区域对战争对当代中国贸易的影响
Impact of Regional Reactions to War on Contemporary Chinese Trade
论文作者
论文摘要
1894年和1900年对战争的不同区域反应可能会对中国的进口产生重大影响。随着国际关系的紧张和中国的增长，国际冲突可能会降低贸易。我们分析了历史性政治冲突的影响。由于战争，我们衡量通过帝国考试人数的区域变化。战争导致了不成功的改革，并震惊了精英。不同地区的精英对现代化有不同的观念，战后不同地区，通过考试人数的变化却大不相同。战争后，通过考试的地区人数增加了1％，从那时起，帝国的进口在2001年下降了2.050％，这表明了文化障碍的影响。可以对制造商品产生影响，因为可以轻松识别品牌。保守区域中昂贵的产品的风险可能会增加设备的进口。价值连锁店需要深厚的信任，这减少了外国公司和集会贸易的进口。
Different regional reactions to war in 1894 and 1900 can significantly impact Chinese imports in 2001. As international relationship gets tense and China rises, international conflicts could decrease trade.We analyze impact of historic political conflict. We measure regional change of number of people passing imperial exam because of war. War leads to an unsuccessful reform and shocks elites. Elites in different regions have different ideas about modernization, and the change of number of people passing exam is quite different in different regions after war. Regional number of people passing exam increases 1% after war, imports from then empires decrease 2.050% in 2001, and this shows impact of cultural barrier. Manufactured goods can be impacted because brands can be identified easily. Risk aversion of expensive products in conservative regions can increase imports of equipment. Value chains need deep trust, and this decreases imports of foreign company and assembly trade.
