论文标题
使用区域气候建模和连续数据同化对印度夏季季风降雨的增强模拟
Enhanced Simulation of the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall Using Regional Climate Modeling and Continuous Data Assimilation
论文作者
论文摘要
这项研究评估了连续数据同化(CDA)动力学尺度算法,以增强印度夏季季风(ISM)系统的模拟。 CDA是一种数学上严格的技术,最近引入了它,以限制具有粗空间比例数据的高分辨率大气模型的大规模特征。它类似于频谱轻描淡写,但不需要尺度分离的光谱分解。预计这与ISM特别相关,ISM涉及大规模循环和区域物理过程之间的各种相互作用。除了对照模拟外,使用CDA,光谱(保留不同的波数)的天气研究和预测模型(WRF)模型进行了几次降尺度模拟,并在三个ISM季节进行了网格纽约:正常(2016年),多余(2013年)和干旱(2013年)和干旱(2009年)。模拟嵌套在NCEP最终分析中,并根据观测值评估模型输出。与网格和频谱轻描淡写相比,使用CDA的模拟在印度次大陆上产生增强的ISM特征,包括低级喷气机,东方热带喷射,东方风剪和所有研究的ISM季节的降雨分布。主要的ISM工艺,特别是季风倒置在阿拉伯海,对流层温度梯度和印度中部的潮湿静态能量,以及季风区域上的区域风剪切,都可以通过CDA更好地模拟。发现频谱纽约输出对波数的选择很敏感,需要仔细调整以提供对ISM系统的强大模拟。相比之下,控制和网格纽约通常无法很好地复制一些主要的ISM特征。
This study assesses a Continuous Data Assimilation (CDA) dynamical-downscaling algorithm for enhancing the simulation of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) system. CDA is a mathematically rigorous technique that has been recently introduced to constrain the large-scale features of high-resolution atmospheric models with coarse spatial scale data. It is similar to spectral nudging but does not require any spectral decomposition for scales separation. This is expected to be particularly relevant for ISM, which involves various interactions between large-scale circulations and regional physical processes. Along with a control simulation, several downscaling simulations were conducted with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model using CDA, spectral (retaining different wavenumbers) and grid nudging for three ISM seasons: normal (2016), excess (2013), and drought (2009). The simulations are nested within the NCEP Final Analysis and the model outputs are evaluated against the observations. Compared to grid and spectral nudging, the simulations using CDA produce enhanced ISM features over the Indian subcontinent including the low-level jet, tropical easterly jet, easterly wind shear, and rainfall distributions for all investigated ISM seasons. The major ISM processes, in particular the monsoon inversion over the Arabian Sea, tropospheric temperature gradients and moist static energy over central India, and zonal wind shear over the monsoon region, are all better simulated with CDA. Spectral nudging outputs are found to be sensitive to the choice of the wavenumber, requiring careful tuning to provide robust simulations of the ISM system. In contrast, control and grid nudging generally fail to well reproduce some of the main ISM features.