论文标题

通过不确定性感知运动编码从检测中进行的轨迹预测

Trajectory Forecasting from Detection with Uncertainty-Aware Motion Encoding

论文作者

Zhang, Pu, Bai, Lei, Xue, Jianru, Fang, Jianwu, Zheng, Nanning, Ouyang, Wanli

论文摘要

轨迹预测对于自主平台制定安全计划和行动至关重要。当前,大多数轨迹预测方法都假定已经提取了对象轨迹并基于地面真实轨迹直接开发轨迹预测变量。但是,在实际情况下,这种假设不存在。从对象检测和跟踪获得的轨迹不可避免地嘈杂,这可能会导致对基于地面真相轨迹的预测因素的严重预测错误。在本文中,我们根据检测结果直接提出了一个轨迹预测变量,而不依赖于明确形成的轨迹。与基于其明确定义的轨迹编码运动提示的传统方法不同,我们仅根据检测结果中的亲和力提示提取运动信息,在该结果中,亲和力感知的状态更新机制旨在考虑关联的不确定性。此外,考虑到可能有多个合理的匹配候选人,我们将其汇总为他们的状态。该设计放松了从数据关联获得的嘈杂轨迹的不良效果。广泛的消融实验验证了我们方法的有效性及其对不同检测器的概括能力。与其他预测方案的交叉比较进一步证明了我们方法的优越性。代码将在接受后发布。

Trajectory forecasting is critical for autonomous platforms to make safe planning and actions. Currently, most trajectory forecasting methods assume that object trajectories have been extracted and directly develop trajectory predictors based on the ground truth trajectories. However, this assumption does not hold in practical situations. Trajectories obtained from object detection and tracking are inevitably noisy, which could cause serious forecasting errors to predictors built on ground truth trajectories. In this paper, we propose a trajectory predictor directly based on detection results without relying on explicitly formed trajectories. Different from the traditional methods which encode the motion cue of an agent based on its clearly defined trajectory, we extract the motion information only based on the affinity cues among detection results, in which an affinity-aware state update mechanism is designed to take the uncertainty of association into account. In addition, considering that there could be multiple plausible matching candidates, we aggregate the states of them. This design relaxes the undesirable effect of noisy trajectory obtained from data association. Extensive ablation experiments validate the effectiveness of our method and its generalization ability on different detectors. Cross-comparison to other forecasting schemes further proves the superiority of our method. Code will be released upon acceptance.

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