论文标题

多极社会系统:测量超出二分法的两极分化

Multipolar social systems: Measuring polarization beyond dichotomous contexts

论文作者

Martin-Gutierrez, Samuel, Losada, Juan C., Benito, Rosa M.

论文摘要

社会两极分化是全世界日益严重的关注,因为它构成了社会关系,侵蚀了对机构的信任,从而威胁民主社会。传统上,从一维角度来看,了解这种现象的学术努力从传统上讲,重点是双极或二分法系统。但是,政治冲突通常不仅涉及两个,而且涉及多个潜在的反对派。最有代表性的例子是多方民主国家,不同政党之间的多边紧张局势经常导致僵局和不确定性。尽管这些多极系统的流行率仍然存在,但仍然缺乏研究其复杂极化模式的合适分析工具。在这项工作中,我们开发了一个分析框架,该框架由无偏见的意识形态空间的固有多极模型组成,一种从相互作用网络中推断多维观点的方法以及新颖的多维极化指标,量化了意识形态极化的几个方面并将新的见解带入对高维意见分布分析的分析。至关重要的是,我们的多维框架并不假设潜在的意识形态结构,例如保守派与渐进式,自由主义者与专制主义等。相反,它揭示了最能描述社会景观的自然空间,而社会景观不一定与传统类别相对应。我们说明了该框架在四极和五极现实世界中的民主进程中的应用,找到了与基本社会背景的明确联系的非平凡意识形态结构。我们的方法论提供了多边社会紧张局势的全面观点,因为它结合了两极分化的互补方面:网络隔离,舆论极端性和发行一致性。

Social polarization is a growing concern worldwide, as it strains social relations, erodes trust in institutions, and thus threatens democratic societies. Academic efforts to understand this phenomenon have traditionally approached it from a one-dimensional perspective, focusing on bipolar or dichotomous systems. However, political conflicts often involve not only two, but multiple potentially dissenting factions. The most representative examples are multi-party democracies, where the multilateral tensions among different parties often lead to gridlock and uncertainty. Despite the prevalence of these multipolar systems, there is still a lack of suitable analytical tools to study their intricate polarization patterns. In this work, we develop an analytical framework consisting of an inherently multipolar model for unbiased ideological spaces, a method to infer multidimensional opinions from interaction networks, and novel multidimensional polarization metrics that quantify several aspects of ideological polarization and bring new insights into the analysis of high-dimensional opinion distributions. Crucially, our multidimensional framework does not assume the underlying ideological structure, such as conservative vs progressive, liberal vs authoritarian, etc. Instead, it reveals the natural space that best describes the social landscape, which does not necessarily correspond to traditional categories. We illustrate the application of this framework in quadripolar and pentapolar real-world democratic processes, finding non-trivial ideological structures with clear connections to the underlying social context. Our methodology offers a comprehensive perspective of multilateral social tensions, as it incorporates complementary aspects of polarization: network segregation, opinion extremeness, and issue alignment.

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