论文标题

使用多保真空气动力学数据库对飞机进行概率分析

Probabilistic Analysis of Aircraft Using Multi-Fidelity Aerodynamics Databases

论文作者

Mukhopadhaya, Jayant

论文摘要

计算能力的上升增加了对模拟的依赖,以告知飞机设计。但是,飞机认证的飞机航空测试仍植根于制造飞机原型后进行的现实实验。利用多保真建模和不确定性量化,我们提出了一个框架,创建了飞机的随机表示,使用它来模拟飞行认证操作,并确定成功满足认证要求的可能性。我们专注于与计算流体动力学模拟有关的不确定性,以解决雷诺平均的Navier-Stokes方程。模拟预测和相关的不确定性与来自其他分析工具的数据结合使用,以创建随机空气动力学和控制数据库。数据库描述了飞机在其飞行包膜中的行为,并为其预测提供了概率分布。数据库是针对两种飞机配置生成的,即国家航空航天局(NASA)通用研究模型和通用T尾运输飞机。创建了代表不同飞机行为的数据库的样本。每个样本都是通过代表联邦航空管理局(FAA)进行的现实世界卫生测试的飞行模拟进行的。这些测试是集体化的,以创建性能指标的分布,从而量化飞机成功执行认证操作的可能性。在建造全尺寸飞机原型之前,模拟飞行认证测试会降低飞机设计过程后期昂贵的重新设计的巨大成本。故障率的计算提供了设计建议,以确保飞机可以以规定的成功率满足认证要求。

The rise in computational capability has increased reliance on simulations to inform aircraft design. However aircraft airworthiness testing for flight certification remains rooted in real-world experiments performed after manufacturing an aircraft prototype. Leveraging multi-fidelity modeling and uncertainty quantification, we present a framework creating a stochastic representation of the aircraft, uses it to simulate flight certification maneuvers, and determines the likelihood of successfully meeting the certification requirement. We focus on uncertainties associated with Computational Fluid Dynamics simulations solving the Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes equations. The simulation predictions and associated uncertainties are combined with data from other analysis tools to create stochastic aerodynamics and controls databases. The databases describe the aircraft's behavior across its flight envelope and provide probability distributions for its predictions. Databases are generated for two aircraft configurations, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Common Research Model and the Generic T-tail Transport aircraft. Samples from the databases, representing different aircraft behavior, are created. Each sample is run through a flight simulation representing a real-world airworthiness test performed by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). These tests are agglomerated to create distributions of the performance metrics, quantifying the probability that the aircraft succeeds in performing the certification maneuver. Simulating flight certification testing before building a full-size aircraft prototype mitigates the enormous costs of expensive redesigns late in the aircraft design process. The calculation of the failure rates provides design suggestions to ensure the aircraft can meet the certification requirement with a prescribed success rate.

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