论文标题
通过汇总多级地理空间信息来学习经济指标
Learning Economic Indicators by Aggregating Multi-Level Geospatial Information
论文作者
论文摘要
高分辨率白天卫星图像已成为研究经济活动的有前途的来源。这些图像在大面积上显示详细的地形,并允许放大到较小的社区。但是,现有方法仅在单层地理单元中使用了图像。这项研究提出了一个深度学习模型,以通过从多个地理单元观察到的汇总性状来预测经济指标。该模型首先通过序数回归来衡量小社区的超地经济。下一步通过汇总了超本地经济体之间的互连来提取地区级别的特征。在最后一步中,该模型通过汇总了超地和地区信息来估算地区的经济指标。我们新的多层次学习模型在预测人口,购买力和能源消耗等关键指标方面大大胜过强大的基准。该模型在数据短缺方面也很强大;当从马来西亚,菲律宾,泰国和越南收集的数据评估时,一个国家的训练有素的特征可以推广到其他国家。我们讨论了多层模型对衡量不平等的影响,这是政策和社会科学研究不平等和贫困的重要第一步。
High-resolution daytime satellite imagery has become a promising source to study economic activities. These images display detailed terrain over large areas and allow zooming into smaller neighborhoods. Existing methods, however, have utilized images only in a single-level geographical unit. This research presents a deep learning model to predict economic indicators via aggregating traits observed from multiple levels of geographical units. The model first measures hyperlocal economy over small communities via ordinal regression. The next step extracts district-level features by summarizing interconnection among hyperlocal economies. In the final step, the model estimates economic indicators of districts via aggregating the hyperlocal and district information. Our new multi-level learning model substantially outperforms strong baselines in predicting key indicators such as population, purchasing power, and energy consumption. The model is also robust against data shortage; the trained features from one country can generalize to other countries when evaluated with data gathered from Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. We discuss the multi-level model's implications for measuring inequality, which is the essential first step in policy and social science research on inequality and poverty.