论文标题

低收入社区的过境投资可以增加过境使用吗?探索多伦多的收入,汽车所有权和过境可及性的联系

Can transit investments in low-income neighbourhoods increase transit use? Exploring the nexus of income, car-ownership, and transit accessibility in Toronto

论文作者

Barri, Elnaz Yousefzadeh, Farber, Steven, Kramer, Anna, Jahanshahi, Hadi, Allen, Jeff, Beyazit, Eda

论文摘要

交通股权倡导者建议改善低收入社区的公共交通,以减轻社会空间不平等现象并提高生活质量。但是,与旨在吸引较富裕社区中选择的骑手相比,运输计划者通常会忽略具有“过境”人口的社区中的交通投资,因为它们被认为会导致模式转移,拥堵救济和环境福利。在北美城市,虽然许多低收入家庭已经是公交使用者,但有些家庭也拥有并使用私人车辆。它表明,低收入社区的过境改善确实可以导致更多的过境使用和更少的汽车使用。因此,本文的主要目的是探索过境使用与通行证可及性之间的统计关系,以及该统计关系因大多伦多和汉密尔顿地区(GTHA)的家庭收入和车辆所有权而变化。使用分层回归模型,我们发现每名成年人一辆或多辆汽车的低收入家庭之间的弹性关系最大,在运输可及性和使用交通之间。如果过境改善,他们更有可能是公交骑手。但是,我们确认,在运输差的自动​​中心地区,低收入家庭的运输使用随着汽车所有权的增加而急剧下降。另一方面,敏感性分析表明,在改善过境时,更多的机会增加了汽车贫困家庭之间的过境乘车。这些发现表明,在大多数低收入汽车家庭所居住的低收入内部郊区的过境中,将与环境规划目标保持一致。

Transportation equity advocates recommend improving public transit in low-income neighbourhoods to alleviate socio-spatial inequalities and increase quality of life. However, transportation planners often overlook transit investments in neighbourhoods with "transit-captive" populations because they are assumed to result in less mode-shifting, congestion relief, and environmental benefits, compared to investments that aim to attract choice riders in wealthier communities. In North American cities, while many low-income households are already transit users, some also own and use private vehicles. It suggests that transit improvements in low-income communities could indeed result in more transit use and less car use. Accordingly, the main objective of this article is to explore the statistical relationship between transit use and transit accessibility as well as how this varies by household income and vehicle ownership in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area (GTHA). Using stratified regression models, we find that low-income households with one or more cars per adult have the most elastic relationship between transit accessibility and transit use; they are more likely to be transit riders if transit improves. However, we confirm that in auto-centric areas with poor transit, the transit use of low-income households drops off sharply as car ownership increases. On the other hand, a sensitivity analysis suggests more opportunities for increasing transit ridership among car-deficit households when transit is improved. These findings indicate that improving transit in low-income inner suburbs, where most low-income car-owning households are living, would align social with environmental planning goals.

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