论文标题
在混合效应模型下选择偏差问题的软校准
Soft calibration for selection bias problems under mixed-effects models
论文作者
论文摘要
校准加权已被广泛用于纠正在非概率抽样,缺少数据和因果推理中的选择偏差。主要思想是通过调整主题权重将偏见的样品校准为基准。但是,当在大型外部协变量上执行精确的校准时,硬校准会产生巨大的权重。本文提出了一种软校准方案,其中结果和选择指标遵循混合效应模型。该方案对固定效应进行了精确校准,并对随机效应进行了近似校准。一方面,我们的软校准与最佳线性无偏预测具有固有的联系,与硬校准相比,这会导致更有效的估计。另一方面,可以将软校准加权估计值视为受惩罚倾向得分权重估计,而惩罚项则由混合效应结构促进。渐近分布和有效的方差估计器是用于软校准的。我们证明了在模拟研究和真实数据应用中,提出的估计器比其他竞争对手的优越性。
Calibration weighting has been widely used to correct selection biases in non-probability sampling, missing data, and causal inference. The main idea is to calibrate the biased sample to the benchmark by adjusting the subject weights. However, hard calibration can produce enormous weights when an exact calibration is enforced on a large set of extraneous covariates. This article proposes a soft calibration scheme, in which the outcome and the selection indicator follow mixed-effects models. The scheme imposes an exact calibration on the fixed effects and an approximate calibration on the random effects. On the one hand, our soft calibration has an intrinsic connection with best linear unbiased prediction, which results in a more efficient estimation compared to hard calibration. On the other hand, soft calibration weighting estimation can be envisioned as penalized propensity score weight estimation, with the penalty term motivated by the mixed-effects structure. The asymptotic distribution and a valid variance estimator are derived for soft calibration. We demonstrate the superiority of the proposed estimator over other competitors in simulation studies and a real-data application.