论文标题

一项长期能源混合优化模型的研究:日本的案例研究

A Study of Long-term Energy-mix Optimization Model: A Case Study in Japan

论文作者

Negishi, Shintaro

论文摘要

迫切需要减少温室气体排放以应对气候变化。在电力部门中,需要在中型和长期改变发电方法来减少温室气体排放。本文提出了长期的能量混合优化MOD-EL,以获得电力系统中碳中立性的过程。提议的模型以每小时的粒度为模型电源和需求,并确定将长期能源供应成本最小化的发电能力。与先前研究中提出的模型相比,提出的模型可以通过增加可变可再生能源作为约束条件的输出中波动所需的调节储备的能力来确定维持电源和需求平衡的安装能力。日本能量混合计算被报告为提议模型的案例研究。该模型可以阐明实现每个国家的减排目标并支持政府决策的路线图。

There is a strong need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to deal with climate change. In the power sector, changing the power generation method in the medium and long term is needed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. This paper proposes a long-term energy-mix optimization mod-el to obtain the process of carbon neutrality in the power system. The proposed model models power supply and demand at an hourly granularity and determines the generation capacity that minimizes the long-term energy supply cost. Compared with the models proposed in previous studies, the proposed model can determine the installed capacity to maintain the balance of power supply and demand by adding the capacity of regulation reserve required by fluctuations in the output of variable renewable energy as a constraint condition. A Japan energy mix calculation is reported as a case study of the proposed model. This model can clarify the roadmap to achieving each country's emission reduction target and support the government's decision-making.

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