论文标题

关于日本共同疫苗接种的公众舆论的演变

Evolution of the public opinion on COVID-19 vaccination in Japan

论文作者

Nakayama, Yuri, Takedomi, Yuka, Suda, Towa, Uno, Takeaki, Hashimoto, Takako, Toyoda, Masashi, Yoshinaga, Naoki, Kitsuregawa, Masaru, Rocha, Luis E. C., Kobayashi, Ryota

论文摘要

疫苗是控制Covid-19的传播的有希望的工具。有效的疫苗接种运动需要政府政策和社区参与,分享社会支持的经验,并为疫苗安全和效率表达了担忧。在线社交平台的越来越多的使用使我们能够实时追踪大规模的沟通并推断公众舆论。我们收集了由800万用户发布的超过1亿个与疫苗相关的推文,并使用潜在的Dirichlet分配模型在日本的疫苗接种活动期间对Tweet文本进行自动主题建模。我们确定了15个主题,分为4个主题,讨论个人问题,新闻,政治,阴谋和幽默。主题流行的发展表明,公众舆论的转变,最初在个人问题(个人方面),新闻(知识获取)和政府批评中分享关注,一旦建立了对疫苗接种运动的信心。一个中断的时间序列回归分析表明,东京奥运会比其他关键事件对舆论影响更大,而不是疫苗接种的过程。关于政治的公众舆论受到了各种事件的重大影响,在疫苗接种运动的早期阶段积极地转移了注意力,并在后来负面。当疫苗接种到年轻人口时,关于个人问题的推文大多是转发的。疫苗接种活动阶段与推文主题之间的关联表明,公众参与社交平台,通过通过社交学习和支持来减轻焦虑,从而有助于加速疫苗的吸收。

Vaccines are promising tools to control the spread of COVID-19. An effective vaccination campaign requires government policies and community engagement, sharing experiences for social support, and voicing concerns to vaccine safety and efficiency. The increasing use of online social platforms allows us to trace large-scale communication and infer public opinion in real-time. We collected more than 100 million vaccine-related tweets posted by 8 million users and used the Latent Dirichlet Allocation model to perform automated topic modeling of tweet texts during the vaccination campaign in Japan. We identified 15 topics grouped into 4 themes on Personal issue, Breaking news, Politics, and Conspiracy and humour. The evolution of the popularity of themes revealed a shift in public opinion, initially sharing the attention over personal issues (individual aspect), collecting information from the news (knowledge acquisition), and government criticisms, towards personal experiences once confidence in the vaccination campaign was established. An interrupted time series regression analysis showed that the Tokyo Olympic Games affected public opinion more than other critical events but not the course of the vaccination. Public opinion on politics was significantly affected by various events, positively shifting the attention in the early stages of the vaccination campaign and negatively later. Tweets about personal issues were mostly retweeted when the vaccination reached the younger population. The associations between the vaccination campaign stages and tweet themes suggest that the public engagement in the social platform contributed to speedup vaccine uptake by reducing anxiety via social learning and support.

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