论文标题
通过机器学习支持也门战争中的和平谈判
Supporting peace negotiations in the Yemen war through machine learning
论文作者
论文摘要
当今的冲突变得越来越复杂,流畅和分散,通常涉及许多具有多重利益和不同利益的国家和国际行为者。随着调解员努力使冲突动态有理由,例如冲突政党及其政治立场的演变,相关与较少相关的参与者在和平建设中的区别,或者对关键冲突问题的认同及其相互依存之间的区别,这一发展对冲突动态构成了重大挑战。国际和平努力似乎不足以成功应对这些挑战。尽管技术已经在与冲突相关的领域进行了试验和使用,例如预测冲突或信息收集,但对技术如何促进冲突调解的关注较少。该案例研究有助于对冲突调解过程中最先进的机器学习技术和技术使用的新兴研究。本研究使用也门和平谈判中的对话成绩单,通过为他们提供知识管理,提取和冲突分析的工具来有效地支持中介团队。除了说明冲突调解中的机器学习工具的潜力外,本文还强调了跨学科和参与性的共同创造方法对开发上下文敏感和有针对性的工具的重要性,并确保有意义和负责任的实施。
Today's conflicts are becoming increasingly complex, fluid and fragmented, often involving a host of national and international actors with multiple and often divergent interests. This development poses significant challenges for conflict mediation, as mediators struggle to make sense of conflict dynamics, such as the range of conflict parties and the evolution of their political positions, the distinction between relevant and less relevant actors in peace-making, or the identification of key conflict issues and their interdependence. International peace efforts appear ill-equipped to successfully address these challenges. While technology is already being experimented with and used in a range of conflict related fields, such as conflict predicting or information gathering, less attention has been given to how technology can contribute to conflict mediation. This case study contributes to emerging research on the use of state-of-the-art machine learning technologies and techniques in conflict mediation processes. Using dialogue transcripts from peace negotiations in Yemen, this study shows how machine-learning can effectively support mediating teams by providing them with tools for knowledge management, extraction and conflict analysis. Apart from illustrating the potential of machine learning tools in conflict mediation, the paper also emphasises the importance of interdisciplinary and participatory, co-creation methodology for the development of context-sensitive and targeted tools and to ensure meaningful and responsible implementation.