论文标题

绩效,不透明,后果和假设:负责机器学习解决方案负责计划的简单问题

Performance, Opaqueness, Consequences, and Assumptions: Simple questions for responsible planning of machine learning solutions

论文作者

Biecek, Przemyslaw

论文摘要

数据革命对数据驱动的解决方案产生了巨大的需求。这一要求推动了越来越多的易于使用的工具和培训对有抱负的数据科学家的培训,从而可以快速构建预测模型。如今,无需详细的计划和验证即可轻松建立和部署数学破坏武器。这迅速扩大了AI失败的清单,即导致财务损失甚至违反民主价值的部署,例如平等,自由和正义。围绕模型开发的计划,规则和标准的缺乏会导致AI的无政府化。 阶段。 在本文中,我们提出了一个快速简单的框架,以支持AI解决方案的计划。 POCA框架基于四个支柱:性能,不透明,后果和假设。它有助于设置期望并计划AI解决方案的约束,然后再构建任何模型并收集任何数据。借助POCA方法,可以为模型构建过程定义初步要求,以便可以尽快识别甚至避免使用昂贵的模型错误指定错误。 AI研究人员,产品所有者和业务分析师可以在构建AI解决方案的初始阶段使用此框架。

The data revolution has generated a huge demand for data-driven solutions. This demand propels a growing number of easy-to-use tools and training for aspiring data scientists that enable the rapid building of predictive models. Today, weapons of math destruction can be easily built and deployed without detailed planning and validation. This rapidly extends the list of AI failures, i.e. deployments that lead to financial losses or even violate democratic values such as equality, freedom and justice. The lack of planning, rules and standards around the model development leads to the ,,anarchisation of AI". This problem is reported under different names such as validation debt, reproducibility crisis, and lack of explainability. Post-mortem analysis of AI failures often reveals mistakes made in the early phase of model development or data acquisition. Thus, instead of curing the consequences of deploying harmful models, we shall prevent them as early as possible by putting more attention to the initial planning stage. In this paper, we propose a quick and simple framework to support planning of AI solutions. The POCA framework is based on four pillars: Performance, Opaqueness, Consequences, and Assumptions. It helps to set the expectations and plan the constraints for the AI solution before any model is built and any data is collected. With the help of the POCA method, preliminary requirements can be defined for the model-building process, so that costly model misspecification errors can be identified as soon as possible or even avoided. AI researchers, product owners and business analysts can use this framework in the initial stages of building AI solutions.

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