论文标题

随着时间的推移估值

Valuing Players Over Time

论文作者

Mendes-Neves, Tiago, Meireles, Luís, Mendes-Moreira, João

论文摘要

在足球(或协会足球)中,球员迅速从英雄转变为零,反之亦然。性能不是静态措施,而是一种挥发性的措施。将绩效分析为时间序列而不是静止的时间点对于做出更好的决策至关重要。本文介绍并探讨了I-VAEP和O-VAEP模型,以评估行动和评估参与者的意图和执行。然后,我们随着时间的推移分析这些评级,并提出用例,以基本将我们将玩家评分视为连续问题的选择。结果,我们出席了谁是最好的球员以及他们的表现如何发展,定义波动率指标以衡量球员的一致性,并建立玩家发展曲线以帮助决策。

In soccer (or association football), players quickly go from heroes to zeroes, or vice-versa. Performance is not a static measure but a somewhat volatile one. Analyzing performance as a time series rather than a stationary point in time is crucial to making better decisions. This paper introduces and explores I-VAEP and O-VAEP models to evaluate actions and rate players' intention and execution. Then, we analyze these ratings over time and propose use cases to fundament our option of treating player ratings as a continuous problem. As a result, we present who were the best players and how their performance evolved, define volatility metrics to measure a player's consistency, and build a player development curve to assist decision-making.

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源