论文标题
理查森的预测:梦和幻想
Richardson's Forecast: the Dream and the Fantasy
论文作者
论文摘要
一百年前出版了一本关于天气预报的非凡书籍。剑桥大学出版社(Cambridge University Press)出版了由辉煌且有先见之明的数学家刘易斯·弗莱·理查森(Lewis Fry Richardson)撰写的《天气预测》,并于1922年出售,费用为30先令。通过数值过程的天气预测是一项引人入胜的原始科学工作,是有史以来最引人注目的关于气象学的书籍之一。在其中,理查森描述了一种系统的数学方法,用于预测天气,并通过进行试验预测来证明其应用。理查森(Richardson)的梦想是,科学的天气预报有一天将成为一个实用的现实。通过计算管理大气的数学方程解决方案的解决方案,进行现代天气预报。解决方案是通过强大的计算机设备实现的复杂仿真模型生成的。他的梦想确实实现了。
A remarkable book on weather forecasting was published just one hundred years ago. Written by the brilliant and prescient applied mathematician, Lewis Fry Richardson, Weather Prediction by Numerical Process was published by Cambridge University Press and went on sale in 1922 at a cost of 30 shillings. Weather Prediction by Numerical Process is a strikingly original scientific work, one of the most remarkable books on meteorology ever written. In it, Richardson described a systematic mathematical method for predicting the weather and demonstrated its application by carrying out a trial forecast. Richardson's dream was that scientific weather forecasting would one day become a practical reality. Modern weather forecasts are made by calculating solutions of the mathematical equations governing the atmosphere. The solutions are generated by complex simulation models implemented on powerful computer equipment. His dream has indeed come true.