论文标题
具有复杂机制的患者报告结果指标的有效替代辅助推断
Efficient surrogate-assisted inference for patient-reported outcome measures with complex missing mechanism
论文作者
论文摘要
越来越多地收集了患者报告的结果(PRO)措施,作为衡量医疗保健质量和价值的一种手段。预测此类措施的能力使患者提供了共同的决策和以患者为中心的护理的交付。但是,由于其自愿性,PRO措施通常遭受高率较高的损失,而失踪性可能取决于许多患者因素。在这样一个复杂的缺失机制下,PRO度量预测模型中参数的统计推断很具有挑战性,尤其是当使用诸如机器学习或非参数方法之类的灵活插补模型时。具体而言,由于复杂的缺失机制,很难估计,柔性插补模型的缓慢收敛速率可能导致不可忽略的偏见,并且能够消除这种偏见的传统缺失倾向很难估计。为了有效地推断感兴趣的参数,我们建议使用一个有益的替代物,该代孕可能导致在低维子空间中的灵活的插补模型。为了消除由于灵活的插图模型而导致的偏见,我们将一类加权函数确定为传统倾向得分的替代方案,并估计已确定的功能类别中的低维度。基于估计的低维加权函数,我们在不使用任何真正缺失倾向的信息的情况下构建了一个单步依据的估计器。我们建立了单步依据估计量的渐近正态性。模拟和对现实世界数据的应用证明了该方法的优越性。
Patient-reported outcome (PRO) measures are increasingly collected as a means of measuring healthcare quality and value. The capability to predict such measures enables patient-provider shared decision making and the delivery of patient-centered care. However, due to their voluntary nature, PRO measures often suffer from a high missing rate, and the missingness may depend on many patient factors. Under such a complex missing mechanism, statistical inference of the parameters in prediction models for PRO measures is challenging, especially when flexible imputation models such as machine learning or nonparametric methods are used. Specifically, the slow convergence rate of the flexible imputation model may lead to non-negligible bias, and the traditional missing propensity, capable of removing such a bias, is hard to estimate due to the complex missing mechanism. To efficiently infer the parameters of interest, we propose to use an informative surrogate that can lead to a flexible imputation model lying in a low-dimensional subspace. To remove the bias due to the flexible imputation model, we identify a class of weighting functions as alternatives to the traditional propensity score and estimate the low-dimensional one within the identified function class. Based on the estimated low-dimensional weighting function, we construct a one-step debiased estimator without using any information of the true missing propensity. We establish the asymptotic normality of the one-step debiased estimator. Simulation and an application to real-world data demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method.