论文标题
研究用于服务ATM和信息支付终端网络的优化模型
Research of an optimization model for servicing a network of ATMs and information payment terminals
论文作者
论文摘要
对现金的稳步需求有助于扩大银行支付终端网络。为了优化付款终端的现金金额,有必要最大程度地减少为其服务的成本,并确保网络中没有多余的资金。这项工作的目的是在付款终端网络中创建现金管理系统。本文讨论了确定将要加载到终端的最佳资金数量的问题的解决方案,以及收集的有效频率,这可以通过投资发布的资金来获得额外的收入。该论文介绍了使用三重指数平滑模型,具有长期短期记忆的复发性神经网络以及单数光谱分析模型来预测ATMS每日现金的结果。这些预测模型使我们能够以良好的准确性和完整性获得足够的正确预测水平。预测现金提取的结果用于构建一个离散的最佳控制模型,该模型用于制定最佳时间表以向付款终端添加资金。事实证明,所提出的模型的效率和可靠性高于经典的鲍莫尔 - 托宾库存管理模型的效率和可靠性:当在三个ATM的时间序列上进行测试时,离散的最佳控制模型不允许耗尽资金,并允许平均30%的收入比经典模型赚取30%。
The steadily high demand for cash contributes to the expansion of the network of Bank payment terminals. To optimize the amount of cash in payment terminals, it is necessary to minimize the cost of servicing them and ensure that there are no excess funds in the network. The purpose of this work is to create a cash management system in the network of payment terminals. The article discusses the solution to the problem of determining the optimal amount of funds to be loaded into the terminals, and the effective frequency of collection, which allows to get additional income by investing the released funds. The paper presents the results of predicting daily cash withdrawals at ATMs using a triple exponential smoothing model, a recurrent neural network with long short-term memory, and a model of singular spectrum analysis. These forecasting models allowed us to obtain a sufficient level of correct forecasts with good accuracy and completeness. The results of forecasting cash withdrawals were used to build a discrete optimal control model, which was used to develop an optimal schedule for adding funds to the payment terminal. It is proved that the efficiency and reliability of the proposed model is higher than that of the classical Baumol-Tobin inventory management model: when tested on the time series of three ATMs, the discrete optimal control model did not allow exhaustion of funds and allowed to earn on average 30% more than the classical model.