论文标题

5G基站流量预测的联合学习

Federated Learning for 5G Base Station Traffic Forecasting

论文作者

Perifanis, Vasileios, Pavlidis, Nikolaos, Koutsiamanis, Remous-Aris, Efraimidis, Pavlos S.

论文摘要

蜂窝交通预测在使5G移动网络能够执行智能有效的基础架构计划和管理方面非常重要。但是,可用数据仅限于基站记录信息。因此,需要培训方法,用于产生可以推广到各个各方的新观察结果的高质量预测。传统方法需要从多个基站收集测量结果,将其传输到中央实体,并使用获取数据传输机器学习操作。当地观察的传播引起了人们对机密性和绩效的担忧,这阻碍了机器学习技术的适用性。尽管已经提出了各种分布式学习方法来解决此问题,但它们在流量预测中的应用仍未得到探索。在这项工作中,我们研究了将联合学习应用于原始基站LTE数据的功效,以预测时间序列。我们使用五个不同的神经网络体系结构评估了一步预测,这些架构在非相同分布的数据上训练有联合设置。我们的结果表明,适合联合设置的学习体系结构对集中设置的效率等效预测误差。此外,基站上的预处理技术提高了预测准确性,而高级联合聚合器则不会超过更简单的方法。考虑到环境影响的模拟表明,联邦学习具有减少碳排放和能耗的潜力。最后,我们考虑了具有合成数据的大规模场景,并证明联合学习可以降低与集中设置相比的计算和通信成本。

Cellular traffic prediction is of great importance on the path of enabling 5G mobile networks to perform intelligent and efficient infrastructure planning and management. However, available data are limited to base station logging information. Hence, training methods for generating high-quality predictions that can generalize to new observations across diverse parties are in demand. Traditional approaches require collecting measurements from multiple base stations, transmitting them to a central entity and conducting machine learning operations using the acquire data. The dissemination of local observations raises concerns regarding confidentiality and performance, which impede the applicability of machine learning techniques. Although various distributed learning methods have been proposed to address this issue, their application to traffic prediction remains highly unexplored. In this work, we investigate the efficacy of federated learning applied to raw base station LTE data for time-series forecasting. We evaluate one-step predictions using five different neural network architectures trained with a federated setting on non-identically distributed data. Our results show that the learning architectures adapted to the federated setting yield equivalent prediction error to the centralized setting. In addition, preprocessing techniques on base stations enhance forecasting accuracy, while advanced federated aggregators do not surpass simpler approaches. Simulations considering the environmental impact suggest that federated learning holds the potential for reducing carbon emissions and energy consumption. Finally, we consider a large-scale scenario with synthetic data and demonstrate that federated learning reduces the computational and communication costs compared to centralized settings.

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