论文标题

年龄友好的工作的兴起

The Rise of Age-Friendly Jobs

论文作者

Acemoglu, Daron, Mühlbach, Nicolaj Søndergaard, Scott, Andrew J.

论文摘要

1990年,美国五分之一的工人年龄超过50年,而今天是三分之一。对此的一种可能的解释是,职业变得更加适应年长工人的偏好。我们通过为职业构建“年龄友好性”指数来探讨这一点。我们使用自然语言处理来衡量职业的文本描述与定义年龄友好性的特征之间的重叠程度。我们的指数为调查参与者产生的排名提供了近似值,并为老年工人的职业份额具有预测能力。我们发现,在1990年至2020年之间,大约四分之三的职业已经看到,他们的年龄友好性提高和高于平均年龄友好的职业的就业增加了4,900万。但是,年长的工人并没有从这种崛起中受益不成比例,年轻的女性和大学毕业生以及男性非大学教育的工人输掉了最大的收益。这些发现表明,需要在其他劳动力市场趋势和缺陷的背景下构成对年龄友好的工作的兴起。鉴于老年工人之间的异质性以及老年人和年轻工人组之间的相似性,纯粹基于年龄的政策不足。后者在特定职业特征的重叠吸引力中尤其明显。

In 1990, one in five U.S. workers were aged over 50 years whereas today it is one in three. One possible explanation for this is that occupations have become more accommodating to the preferences of older workers. We explore this by constructing an "age-friendliness" index for occupations. We use Natural Language Processing to measure the degree of overlap between textual descriptions of occupations and characteristics which define age-friendliness. Our index provides an approximation to rankings produced by survey participants and has predictive power for the occupational share of older workers. We find that between 1990 and 2020 around three quarters of occupations have seen their age-friendliness increase and employment in above-average age-friendly occupations has risen by 49 million. However, older workers have not benefited disproportionately from this rise, with substantial gains going to younger females and college graduates and with male non-college educated workers losing out the most. These findings point to the need to frame the rise of age-friendly jobs in the context of other labour market trends and imperfections. Purely age-based policies are insufficient given both heterogeneity amongst older workers as well as similarities between groups of older and younger workers. The latter is especially apparent in the overlapping appeal of specific occupational characteristics.

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