论文标题

$ k $ level starlike图的病毒动力学

Virus Dynamics on $k$-Level Starlike Graphs

论文作者

Takigawa, Akihiro, Miller, Steven J.

论文摘要

储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。

Becker, Greaves-Tunnell, Kontorovich, Miller, Ravikumar, and Shen determined the long term evolution of virus propagation behavior on a hub-and-spoke graph of one central node and $n$ neighbors, with edges only from the neighbors to the hub (a $2$-level starlike graph), under a variant of the discrete-time SIS (Suspectible Infected Suspectible) model. The behavior of this model is governed by the interactions between the infection and cure probabilities, along with the number $n$ of $2$-level nodes. They proved that for any $n$, there is a critical threshold relating these rates, below which the virus dies out, and above which the probabilistic dynamical system converges to a non-trivial steady state (the probability of infection for each category of node stabilizes). For $a$, the probability at any time step that an infected node is not cured, and $b$, the probability at any time step that an infected node infects its neighbors, the threshold for the virus to die out is $b \leq (1-a)/\sqrt{n}$. We extend this analysis to $k$-level starlike graphs for $k \geq 3$ (each $(k-1)$-level node has exactly $n_k$ neighbors, and the only edges added are from the $k$-level nodes) for infection rates above and below the critical threshold of $(1-a)/\sqrt{n_1+n_2+\dots+n_{k-1}}$. We do this by first analyzing the dynamics of nodes on each level of a $3$-level starlike graph, then show that the dynamics of the nodes of a $k$-level starlike graph are similar, enabling us to reduce our analysis to just $3$ levels, using the same methodology as the $3$-level case.

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